Emergence Spirals… sounds sort of woo-woo but it's not, despite what Yudkowsky says… nonzerosum.games/emergencespirals.html #evolution #feedbackloops #biology #systemstheory #complexity #Yudkowsky #LessWrong #Popper #Hegel #Parasites #Symbiosis #Science #Nature #Philosophy #History
EMERGENCE SPIRALS
Rethinking inventory strategy — new system dynamics research challenges retail norms.
A recent study shows that introducing a competing product earlier during an existing product’s decline phase can lead to higher long-term revenue.
Key insights for retail leaders:
Inventory decisions must model real substitution behavior
Early introductions can phase out old products more profitably
Demand forecasting should include stockout effects
Safety stock planning and shorter review cycles reduce lost sales
Dynamic, not static, strategies win in FMCG and tech retail
This is a must-read for anyone managing product portfolios, especially in fast-moving markets where demand shifts fast and substitution patterns aren't predictable.
#Knowledge first or #belief first #epistemology? Or even data first if you fall foul of #dataism. Data is a mechanism in the process.
What’s if neither knowledge or data is ‘first’? What if knowing is built on #value and #values instead?
Values -> value -> knowledge -> belief
(If you want an order).
I got here by way of #SystemsTheory rather than purely traditional routes.
@ketanjoshi.co i would say #collapse in systems dynamics describes a shift in dominance of feedbacks. in the context of complexity theory it is used to describe rapid breakdown of complexity. but it is never used in any of these professions as a technical term. they have their own, very specific jargon and definitions of different concepts of collapse.
too many people #talkcollapse who never read any #systemstheory.
2025 is looking like a great year for work at the intersection of #categorytheory, #systemstheory, #controltheory, #machinelearning and #probabilitytheory, this thread will be a very biased collection of works (in no specific order) I'm hoping to read as soon as possible!
Starting with:
"Logical Aspects of Virtual Double Categories"
https://mastoxiv.page/@arXiv_mathCT_bot/113921693949589956
Theory and Therapy of Representations • 5
• https://inquiryintoinquiry.com/2025/02/25/theory-and-therapy-of-representations-5-b/
Re: R.J. Lipton and K.W. Regan • Legal Complexity
• https://rjlipton.com/2022/09/04/legal-complexity/
❝I do not pretend to understand the moral universe;
the arc is a long one, my eye reaches but little ways;
I cannot calculate the curve and complete the figure by
the experience of sight; I can divine it by conscience.
And from what I see I am sure it bends towards justice.❞
🙞 Theodore Parker
• https://web.archive.org/web/20200302045624/https://books.google.com/books?id=eHgYAAAAYAAJ&pg=PA48#v=onepage&q&f=false
The arc of the moral universe may bend toward justice — there's hope it will.
For the logic of laws to converge on justice may take some doing on our part.
Resources —
Survey of Cybernetics
• https://inquiryintoinquiry.com/2024/01/25/survey-of-cybernetics-4/
Survey of Differential Logic
• https://inquiryintoinquiry.com/2024/02/25/survey-of-differential-logic-7/
Survey of Inquiry Driven Systems
• https://inquiryintoinquiry.com/2024/02/28/survey-of-inquiry-driven-systems-6/
#AdaptiveSystems #Cybernetics #SystemsTheory #Governance #Democracy
#Plato #Peirce #MaxWeber #Accountability #Representation #Statistics
#Inquiry #InquiryDrivenSystems #Observation #Expectation #Intention
Theory and Therapy of Representations • 4
• https://inquiryintoinquiry.com/2025/02/24/theory-and-therapy-of-representations-4-b/
Re: Ontolog Forum • Paola Di Maio
• https://groups.google.com/g/ontolog-forum/c/Ek_7cCCyFkQ/m/qI0kQv4UAgAJ
JA: What are the forces distorting our representations of what's observed, what's expected, and what's intended?
PDM: The short answer is — the force behind all distortions is our own unenlightened mind, and all the shortfalls this comes with.
I think that's true, we have to keep reflecting on the state of our personal enlightenments. If we can do that without losing our heads and our systems thinking caps, there will be much we can do to promote the general Enlightenment of the State.
On both personal and general grounds we have a stake in the projects of self‑governing systems — whether it is possible for them to exist and what it takes for them to thrive in given environments. Systems on that order have of course been studied from many points of view and at many levels of organization. Whether we address them under the names of adaptive, cybernetic, error-correcting, intelligent, or optimal control systems they all must be capable to some degree of learning, reasoning, and self‑guidance.
Resources —
Survey of Cybernetics
• https://inquiryintoinquiry.com/2024/01/25/survey-of-cybernetics-4/
Survey of Differential Logic
• https://inquiryintoinquiry.com/2024/02/25/survey-of-differential-logic-7/
Survey of Inquiry Driven Systems
• https://inquiryintoinquiry.com/2024/02/28/survey-of-inquiry-driven-systems-6/
#AdaptiveSystems #Cybernetics #SystemsTheory #Governance #Democracy
#Plato #Peirce #MaxWeber #Accountability #Representation #Statistics
#Inquiry #InquiryDrivenSystems #Observation #Expectation #Intention
Theory and Therapy of Representations • 3.2
• https://inquiryintoinquiry.com/2025/02/23/theory-and-therapy-of-representations-3-b/
Scene 2. Theory and Therapy of Representations • 1
• https://inquiryintoinquiry.com/2025/02/21/theory-and-therapy-of-representations-1-b/
Statistics were originally the data a ship of state needed for stationkeeping and staying on course. The Founders of the United States, like the Cybernauts of the Enlightenment they were, engineered a ship of state with checks and balances and error-controlled feedbacks for the sake of representing both reality and the will of the people. In that connection Max Weber saw how a state's accounting systems are intended as representations of realities its crew and passengers must observe or perish.
That brings us to Question 2 —
• What are the forces distorting our representations of what's observed, what's expected, and what's intended?
Resources ─
Survey of Cybernetics
• https://inquiryintoinquiry.com/2024/01/25/survey-of-cybernetics-4/
Pragmatic Theory Of Truth
• https://oeis.org/wiki/Pragmatic_Theory_Of_Truth
#AdaptiveSystems #Cybernetics #SystemsTheory #Governance #Democracy
#Plato #Peirce #MaxWeber #Accountability #Representation #Statistics
#Inquiry #InquiryDrivenSystems #Observation #Expectation #Intention
Theory and Therapy of Representations • 3.1
• https://inquiryintoinquiry.com/2025/02/23/theory-and-therapy-of-representations-3-b/
Representation is a concept we find at the intersection of cybernetics, epistemology, logic, mathematics, psychology, and sociology. In my studies it led me from math to psych and back again, with sidelong glances at the history of democratic governance. Its time come round again, I find myself returning to the scenes of two recurring questions.
Scene 1. Pragmatic Truth • Discussion 18
• https://inquiryintoinquiry.com/2019/11/14/pragmatic-truth-discussion-18/
We do not live in axiom systems. We do not live encased in languages, formal or natural. There is no reason to think we will ever have exact and exhaustive theories of what's out there, and the truth, as we know, is “out there”. Peirce understood there are more truths in mathematics than are dreamt of in logic — and Gödel’s realism should have put the last nail in the coffin of logicism — but some ways of thinking just never get a clue.
That brings us to Question 1 —
• What are formalisms and all their embodiments in brains and computers good for?
Resources ─
Survey of Cybernetics
• https://inquiryintoinquiry.com/2024/01/25/survey-of-cybernetics-4/
Pragmatic Theory Of Truth
• https://oeis.org/wiki/Pragmatic_Theory_Of_Truth
#AdaptiveSystems #Cybernetics #SystemsTheory #Governance #Democracy
#Plato #Peirce #MaxWeber #Accountability #Representation #Statistics
#Inquiry #InquiryDrivenSystems #Observation #Expectation #Intention
Theory and Therapy of Representations • 2
• https://inquiryintoinquiry.com/2025/02/22/theory-and-therapy-of-representations-2-b/
In a complex society, people making decisions and taking actions at places remote from you have the power to affect your life in significant ways. Those people govern your life, they are your government, no matter what spheres of influence they inhabit, private or public. The only way you get a choice in that governance is if there are paths of feedback permitting you to affect the life of those decision makers and action takers in significant ways. That is what accountability, response-ability, and representative government are all about.
Naturally, some people are against that.
In the United States there has been a concerted campaign for as long as I can remember — but even more concerted since the Reagan Regime — to get the People to abdicate their hold on The Powers That Be and just let some anonymous corporate entity send us the bill after the fact. They keep trying to con the People into thinking they can starve the beast, to limit government, when what they are really doing is feeding the beast of corporate control, weakening their own power over the forces that govern their lives.
That is the road to perdition as far as responsible government goes. There is not much of anything one leader or one administration can do unsupported if the People do not constantly demand a government of, by, and for the People.
Resource ─
Survey of Cybernetics
• https://inquiryintoinquiry.com/2024/01/25/survey-of-cybernetics-4/
#AdaptiveSystems #Cybernetics #SystemsTheory #Governance #Democracy
#Plato #Peirce #MaxWeber #Accountability #Representation #Statistics
#Inquiry #InquiryDrivenSystems #Observation #Expectation #Intention
Theory and Therapy of Representations • 1
• https://inquiryintoinquiry.com/2025/02/21/theory-and-therapy-of-representations-1-b/
❝Again, in a ship, if a man were at liberty to do what he chose, but were devoid of mind and excellence in navigation (αρετης κυβερνητικης), do you perceive what must happen to him and his fellow sailors?❞
─ Plato • Alcibiades 135 A
Statistics were originally the data a ship of state needed for stationkeeping and staying on course. The Founders of the United States, like the Cybernauts of the Enlightenment they were, engineered a ship of state with checks and balances and error‑controlled feedbacks for the sake of representing both reality and the will of the people. In that connection Max Weber saw how a state's accounting systems are intended as representations of realities its crew and passengers must observe or perish.
The question for our time is —
• What are the forces distorting our representations of what's observed, what's expected, and what's intended?
Repercussions ─
The Place Where Three Wars Meet
• https://inquiryintoinquiry.com/2012/06/21/the-place-where-three-wars-meet/
Resource ─
Survey of Cybernetics
• https://inquiryintoinquiry.com/2024/01/25/survey-of-cybernetics-4/
#AdaptiveSystems #Cybernetics #SystemsTheory #Governance #Democracy
#Plato #Peirce #MaxWeber #Accountability #Representation #Statistics
#Inquiry #InquiryDrivenSystems #Observation #Expectation #Intention
Thread 1/?
Been a bit more cognitively blunt since a infection some 16 weeks ago that was followed by not being able to smell #Tea leaves.
As treatment, going to read through the following article and pick out things of interest.
No claim that things of interest will be widely significant or accurately considered.
Looks like this intersects with #Computing, #AI, #SystemsTheory and #Philosophy.
Are Biological Systems More Intelligent Than Artificial Intelligence?
#StaffordBeer states the case for a new science of #systemstheory and #cybernetics. Designing Freedom ponders the possibilities of liberty in a cybernetic world.
The 1973 CBC Massey Lectures, "Designing Freedom"
#CBCRadio #radioteledyn #nowplaying
https://www.cbc.ca/radio/ideas/the-1973-cbc-massey-lectures-designing-freedom-1.2946819
so i am going to post a thread of some graphs about the human situation on the planet. some show data, some show concepts. all of them are going to be pretty depressing, so buckle up.
Well. I have become a person who reads books that look like this now. #systemstheory
Thank you for learning me how to be learning. This, has helped me to be learning how the cosmos works. Then, with the help of others who share their code, I've learnt how to be hacking the system. Not even crack it.
#freesoftware #democracy #debate #diplomacy #systemstheory #teachers #students #professors #doctors #scientists #engineers #programmers #developers #astronomers and w/e exists . . . or not.!:(.
Biological viewpoint of play professed is good, and nerdy (as I like things).
The (no-nonsense, no hippie-crap) #Metaphysics and #MetaPsychology of such is also, as well as the #SystemsTheory behind it all. Whatsmore, the collective of these three creates a powerful #holistic image of the mandate for understanding and using "play" in OKD (and all personal/professional atmospheres).
Constraints and Indications • 1.2
• https://inquiryintoinquiry.com/2024/07/02/constraints-and-indications-1-a/
Re: Peirce List • Kaina Stoicheia and the Symbol Grounding Problem
• https://web.archive.org/web/20121231182129/http://comments.gmane.org/gmane.science.philosophy.peirce/9165
Reference —
• Ashby, W.R. (1956), Introduction to Cybernetics, Methuen, London, UK.
Resources —
Survey of Cybernetics
• https://inquiryintoinquiry.com/2024/01/25/survey-of-cybernetics-4/
Survey of Inquiry Driven Systems
• https://inquiryintoinquiry.com/2024/02/28/survey-of-inquiry-driven-systems-6/
Survey of Pragmatic Semiotic Information
• https://inquiryintoinquiry.com/2024/03/01/survey-of-pragmatic-semiotic-information-8/
#Peirce #Ashby #Cybernetics #InquiryDrivenSystems #PragmaticSemioticInformation
#Constraint #ControlSystems #Indication #Information #Inquiry #IntelligentSystems
#AdaptiveSystems #ErrorControlledRegulation #Feedback #SystemsTheory #Uncertainty
#Determination #Intentionality #Learning #Reasoning #SemioticInformation #Semiotics