mstdn.social is one of the many independent Mastodon servers you can use to participate in the fediverse.
A general-purpose Mastodon server with a 500 character limit. All languages are welcome.

Administered by:

Server stats:

13K
active users

#uncertainty

3 posts3 participants0 posts today

[en] How political conspiracy theories start and spread, and why people believe them

Some systematic background to #conspiracy theories or "#conspiracisms" (Prof. Tyson).

"I think now we’re just well past the point of no return," says Tyson, who teaches an undergraduate class on conspiracy theories ...

"Conspiracy theories thrive especially in environments where #uncertainty, ſfear, or #distrust are rampant ..."

rochester.edu/newscenter/how-d

News Center · Who’s immune to conspiracy theories?University of Rochester faculty explain how political conspiracy theories start and spread, and why people believe them.

This week, I’ve been reflecting on three simple yet powerful truths: ask for help, drink your water, and look up—there’s art all around you. Whether you’re navigating career shifts, reclaiming your well-being, or just craving color in your day, here are some small reminders that resilience lives in the details. The Three Minute Reset awaits:

linkedin.com/pulse/lets-talk-a

www.linkedin.comLet’s Talk About Asking for HelpLIFE LESSON Lately, I’ve seen a flood of posts here on LinkedIn—people being laid off, searching for work, or quietly navigating what comes next. If that’s you, I see you.

Sample chapters of 𝑫𝒂𝒏𝒄𝒊𝒏𝒈 𝒊𝒏 𝒕𝒉𝒆 𝑹𝒂𝒊𝒏 are now available directly to your inbox!

Exciting news! 🎉

My new book, "𝑫𝒂𝒏𝒄𝒊𝒏𝒈 𝒊𝒏 𝒕𝒉𝒆 𝑹𝒂𝒊𝒏," now has sample chapters available!

Get a sneak peek into how leaders can thrive, innovate, and grow even when economic storm clouds gather.

Request your free sample and start preparing to dance through any challenge.

Hit sample.dancing.jimcarroll.com

Don't wait for the volatility to come to an end. Get ahead of it now!

**#DancingInTheRain** **#Leadership** **#Innovation** **#Uncertainty** **#BusinessGrowth**

Continued thread

"#Uncertainty about the economic outlook has diminished but remains elevated," the #Fed said in its latest policy statement.

While policymakers still anticipate cutting rates by half a percentage point this year, as they projected in March & December, they slightly slowed the pace from there to a single quarter-percentage-point cut in each of 2026 & 2027 in a protracted fight to return #inflation to the central bank's 2% target.

"One small step for BESSER, one giant leap for developerkind" - Neil Armstrong (kind of)🌜🌘

This #PR adds an #uncertainty property to all #model elements. This enables defining how confident we are about the correctness of any element (class, attribute, association...).

This is useful when #humans model. But key to enable #agents participating in the #modeling process.

github.com/BESSER-PEARL/BESSER

… 0 (so no uncertainty).
This prepares the future work on agent modeling
GitHubAdded a new uncertainty property to all model elements. Default value… by jcabot · Pull Request #299 · BESSER-PEARL/BESSERBy jcabot

"Every good moment of uncertainty demands the certainty of action!" - Futurist Jim Carroll

You can pre-order Dancing in the Rain effective today!

I've got a final, print-ready manuscript in my hands, which needs a final read-through before we commit to it. I'm waiting for my cover guy to finish off the cover. After that, a few more buttons to hit, and we are good to go. There are a few logistical hurdles to get through, in that the team that works with me (aka family) has a few other commitments (aka day jobs) that take precedence. It will at least be by July - I am hoping for sooner.

What a wild voyage!

The actual date that I started the blog series was April 7, so it will turn out to be just a little more than 2 months from the time I conceived of the idea of the book to its release.

Think about where we were just two months ago. The insanity of the reality of a global trade war was setting in; markets were uncertain; and clarity was lacking. And if it isn't evident to you yet, all the signs are there that we are already in the midst of what will be a rather prolonged and significant economic retraction.

That's why I decided that what I needed to do was begin to summarize everything I had learned, observed, and researched about how companies and executives responded to previous periods of economic decline. In the previous decades, I had developed a LOT of insight into the criticality of innovation through a recession; of staying relentlessly focused on growth; and on finding opportunity while everyone else was retrenching. I had a significant amount of material on the strategies, mindsets, actions, and undertakings of those who were bold enough to not just focus on the challenges of today, but to double down on the opportunities of tomorrow.

So I began writing. And writing. And writing.

Somewhere along the way, I realized I had a book in there. I remember the night I was out for an after-dinner walk with my wife, and I carefully broached the fact that I was 'doing another one.' Keep in mind that she - as my business partner and editor - was still immersed in the process of getting my book Escaping Mediocrity out the door. This came after a fast project to get the other book, Embracing Mediocrity in print. All during this time, she was taking on the role of Treasurer and going back on the Board of a charity for special needs young adults that we are heavily involved with. She was none too thrilled but knows me all too well.

And so here we are. I practice what I preach. The core message of the book is that every crisis demands that we don't freeze but act. That we don't suddenly go into a state of indecision, but move forward decisively. While everyone else is focused on the current moment, we need to prepare for the next one.

That while others are doing what they can to avoid the storm, we need to go out into it with full determination, and dance.

I hope you will do a pre-order. We've worked tremendously hard to get to this point, and I am eager to get what I think is one of my best books (this one being #43 I think) into your hands!

Dance!

In the rain!

Order it now at dancing.jimcarroll.com.

#Uncertainty #Action #Leadership #Resilience #Innovation #Crisis #Growth #Opportunity #Bold #Dance

Original post: jimcarroll.com/2025/06/decodin