Polling can be misleading—are pundits misreading public opinion? Paul Krugman interviews **G. Elliott Morris**, who reveals how the "pundit's fallacy" skews insights on voters. By relying on data, not instincts, Morris explains the impact of dissatisfaction on recent elections and emphasizes understanding economic sentiments over simplistic narratives. For deeper insights, check out the full discussion [here](https://paulkrugman.substack.com/p/a-conversation-with-g-elliott-morris). #Polling #PublicOpinion #Politics #DataDriven #ElectionInsights

For the first time since the start of his second term, #Trump hit 50% #disapproval in #VoteHub's #polling #aggregation today. https://votehub.com/polls/

Presidents have come back from this. #Reagan bottomed out at something like 30% early in his first term, and then of course won re-election in a landslide. But Trump doesn't have that kind of political acumen.

If we have anything resembling a fair #election, 2026 will be a bloodbath, and I'm willing to bet 2028 as well. If we don't, well, it will be a bloodbath of a different kind.

“Labour falls to DISTANT 3rd place in latest #Westminster #polling”

by Skwawkbox @skwawkbox @UKLabour

“If Starmer is trying to take the #UK into #fascism, we may have found the one thing he’s good at – 13 Cabinet ministers set to lose seats”

https://skwawkbox.org/2025/04/02/labour-falls-to-distant-3rd-place-in-latest-westminster-polling/

BREAKING: #Elmo the #SpaceNazi has paid local #nazis to steal #ballots from SEVEN #Wisconsin #polling stations who have reported they have "ran out of ballot papers"

https://www.europesays.com/1961289/ Polls On The US And EU In Europe #DonaldTrump #europe #EuropeanUnion #polling #PublicOpinion #tariffs

#Voter #480 at my #polling place.

I did my #civic duty before heading into work early this afternoon.

#Wisconsinites, is it your turn to make your voice heard, or are you okay with someone else speaking for you with their #vote?

"It is absolutely right to emphasize the importance of respecting #voters, and try to understand them, rather than assuming that those who disagree with you are stupid or racist. But voters are not going to tell you how to #govern the country. It is not their job. Relying on their opinions to try to deduce what to do leads not only to incoherence, but to a negative loop."

https://samf.substack.com/p/the-rise-of-the-gurus?r=72szy&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&triedRedirect=true

#UKpol
#MorganMcSweeney
#keirstarmer
#polling
#governing
#PoliticalLeadership
#politicalbeliefs

Divided Electorate Tells Tale of Two Cities Ahead of Mayoral Election

https://www.thecity.nyc/2025/03/12/mayor-election-candidates-voters/

https://www.europesays.com/1950023/ Donald Trump’s Approval Rating Over Economy Plunges to New Low #DonaldTrump #Economy #polling #polls #TrumpAdministration #U.S.Economy

This should light a fire under people in #Florida who support @joshweil.bsky.social and/or who oppose #Trump to contact any friend or neighbor they know who could still cast a #vote! No idea if there's #polling for the @gayforcongress.bsky.social race, but trends can be widespread...

Poll shows CD 6 Special Electi...

I ran across another appeal from "Cooperate for Canada" to ignore one's political beliefs and instead vote for whoever Fournier thinks is the biggest risk to the CPC candidate.

So I decided to take a deeper look at this group, their concept, and their actions.

@leftylabourtech

1/

https://reasonstobecheerful.world/colorado-jails-election-turnout-soared/

When #Colorado Put #Polling Places Inside All Its #Jails, #Voter Turnout Soared

..."originally published https://boltsmag.org/, covers criminal justice and voting rights in local governments
...
Many Colorado counties posted significant jail turnout in November after having zero, or nearly zero, jail vote."...

"how can #politicians tell voters the truth about what may have to change, if #voters don’t understand the basics of how things work at the moment?"

https://taxpolicy.org.uk/2024/10/26/the-publics-surprising-choice-of-tax-increase-and-why-we-should-ignore-it/

#taxpolicy
#taxes
#economy
#springbudget
#UKpol
#understandingtaxes
#polling
#pollinglimitations
#taxrises

Republican hatred of Democrats and of separation of church and state has significantly damaged political polling because reactionary Americans are willing to lie about their opinions if they think it helps Trump.

This has been verified repeatedly regarding Trump's obvious lies about the size of his first inauguration attendance.

https://online.ucpress.edu/collabra/article/9/1/68054/195155/Expressive-Responding-in-Support-of-Donald-Trump

New NBC News poll not looking good for Democrats