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#focaldata

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Donald Roy<p><span class="h-card" translate="no"><a href="https://zirk.us/@ChrisMayLA6" class="u-url mention" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">@<span>ChrisMayLA6</span></a></span> <br>I agree. The poll cited is by <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/focaldata" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>focaldata</span></a> - who have an excellent record due not least to <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/jameskanagasooriam" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>jameskanagasooriam</span></a> (whose work in <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/scotland" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>scotland</span></a> rescued <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/theresamay" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>theresamay</span></a> in <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/ukgeneralelection2017" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>ukgeneralelection2017</span></a> ). <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/electoralcalculus" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>electoralcalculus</span></a> has produced very similar results to it. Using their open access model suggests that a return of just 3% of voters back to <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/labour" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>labour</span></a> from <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/reformUK" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>reformUK</span></a> would give <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/La%C9%93our" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>Laɓour</span></a> a substantial majority. The 3% group is not anti-immigration but expects actual delivery from the <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/labour" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>labour</span></a> government.</p>
Susan Larson ♀️🏳️‍🌈🏳️‍⚧️🌈<p><a href="https://mastodon.online/tags/VicePresident" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>VicePresident</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.online/tags/KamalaHarris" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>KamalaHarris</span></a> leads <a href="https://mastodon.online/tags/Trump" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>Trump</span></a> in 5 of 7 <a href="https://mastodon.online/tags/battleground" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>battleground</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.online/tags/states" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>states</span></a>: <a href="https://mastodon.online/tags/poll" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>poll</span></a> </p><p>Harris leads Trump in <a href="https://mastodon.online/tags/Pennsylvania" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>Pennsylvania</span></a>, <a href="https://mastodon.online/tags/Michigan" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>Michigan</span></a>, <a href="https://mastodon.online/tags/NorthCarolina" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>NorthCarolina</span></a>, <a href="https://mastodon.online/tags/Wisconsin" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>Wisconsin</span></a>, and <a href="https://mastodon.online/tags/Nevada" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>Nevada</span></a> when 3rd parties are factored in, according to new <a href="https://mastodon.online/tags/polling" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>polling</span></a> from <a href="https://mastodon.online/tags/British" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>British</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.online/tags/firm" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>firm</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.online/tags/Focaldata" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>Focaldata</span></a> </p><p><a href="https://www.semafor.com/article/08/18/2024/harris-leads-trump-in-five-of-seven-battlegrounds-poll" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" translate="no" target="_blank"><span class="invisible">https://www.</span><span class="ellipsis">semafor.com/article/08/18/2024</span><span class="invisible">/harris-leads-trump-in-five-of-seven-battlegrounds-poll</span></a></p>
UK Election Results<p>GB MRP OPINION POLL</p><p>Headline Westminster seats projection from final MRP by <a href="https://mastodonapp.uk/tags/FocalData" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>FocalData</span></a>: </p><p>🔴 Labour: 444 (+241)<br>🔵 Conservatives: 108 (-257)<br>🟠 Liberal Democrats: 57 (+46)<br>🟡 SNP: 15 (-33)<br>⚪ Reform UK: 2 (+2)<br>🌻 Plaid Cymru: 2 (-2)<br>🟢 Green Party: 1 (=)</p><p>Conducted 24 June - 1 July 2024. Changes with 2019 GE result.</p><p>Details, including map: <a href="https://www.focaldata.com/blog/focaldata-prolific-uk-general-election-mrp-final-call" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" translate="no" target="_blank"><span class="invisible">https://www.</span><span class="ellipsis">focaldata.com/blog/focaldata-p</span><span class="invisible">rolific-uk-general-election-mrp-final-call</span></a></p><p><a href="https://mastodonapp.uk/tags/ukpolitics" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>ukpolitics</span></a> <a href="https://mastodonapp.uk/tags/ukpol" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>ukpol</span></a> <a href="https://mastodonapp.uk/tags/polling" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>polling</span></a> <a href="https://mastodonapp.uk/tags/Labour" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>Labour</span></a> <a href="https://mastodonapp.uk/tags/Conservatives" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>Conservatives</span></a> <a href="https://mastodonapp.uk/tags/LibDems" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>LibDems</span></a> <a href="https://mastodonapp.uk/tags/GreenParty" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>GreenParty</span></a> <a href="https://mastodonapp.uk/tags/SNP" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>SNP</span></a> <a href="https://mastodonapp.uk/tags/ReformUK" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>ReformUK</span></a> <a href="https://mastodonapp.uk/tags/PlaidCymru" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>PlaidCymru</span></a> <a href="https://mastodonapp.uk/tags/MRP" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>MRP</span></a> <a href="https://mastodonapp.uk/tags/GE2024" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>GE2024</span></a></p>
UK Election Results<p>From the <a href="https://mastodonapp.uk/tags/FocalData" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>FocalData</span></a> MRP:</p><p>Remain voters:<br>🔴 Labour: 52%<br>🔵 Conservatives: 18%<br>🟠 Liberal Democrats: 15%<br>🟢 Green Party: 6%<br>⚪ Reform UK: 4%</p><p>Leave voters:<br>🔵 Conservatives: 31%<br>⚪ Reform UK: 29%<br>🔴 Labour: 27%<br>🟠 Liberal Democrats: 7%<br>🟢 Green Party: 3%</p><p>Did/could not vote in referendum:<br>🔴 Labour: 53%<br>🔵 Conservatives: 15%<br>⚪ Reform UK: 11%<br>🟠 Liberal Democrats: 10%<br>🟢 Green Party: 8%<br> <a href="https://www.focaldata.com/blog/focaldata-prolific-uk-general-election-mrp" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" translate="no" target="_blank"><span class="invisible">https://www.</span><span class="ellipsis">focaldata.com/blog/focaldata-p</span><span class="invisible">rolific-uk-general-election-mrp</span></a></p><p><a href="https://mastodonapp.uk/tags/ukpolitics" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>ukpolitics</span></a> <a href="https://mastodonapp.uk/tags/ukpol" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>ukpol</span></a> <a href="https://mastodonapp.uk/tags/polling" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>polling</span></a> <a href="https://mastodonapp.uk/tags/Labour" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>Labour</span></a> <a href="https://mastodonapp.uk/tags/Conservatives" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>Conservatives</span></a> <a href="https://mastodonapp.uk/tags/LibDems" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>LibDems</span></a> <a href="https://mastodonapp.uk/tags/GreenParty" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>GreenParty</span></a> <a href="https://mastodonapp.uk/tags/ReformUK" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>ReformUK</span></a> <a href="https://mastodonapp.uk/tags/Brexit" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>Brexit</span></a> <a href="https://mastodonapp.uk/tags/GE2024" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>GE2024</span></a></p>
UK Election Results<p>MRP OPINION POLL</p><p>Headline Westminster seats projection from MRP poll by <a href="https://mastodonapp.uk/tags/FocalData" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>FocalData</span></a>/#Prolific: </p><p>🔴 Labour: 450 (+248)<br>🔵 Conservatives: 110 (-255)<br>🟠 Liberal Democrats: 50 (+39)<br>🟡 SNP: 16 (-32)<br>🌻 Plaid Cymru: 2 (-2)<br>🟢 Green Party: 1 (=)<br>⚪ Reform UK: 1 (+1)</p><p>Conducted 3-20 June 2024. Changes with 2019 GE result.</p><p>Details, including caveats and analysis: <a href="https://www.focaldata.com/blog/focaldata-prolific-uk-general-election-mrp" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" translate="no" target="_blank"><span class="invisible">https://www.</span><span class="ellipsis">focaldata.com/blog/focaldata-p</span><span class="invisible">rolific-uk-general-election-mrp</span></a></p><p><a href="https://mastodonapp.uk/tags/ukpolitics" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>ukpolitics</span></a> <a href="https://mastodonapp.uk/tags/ukpol" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>ukpol</span></a> <a href="https://mastodonapp.uk/tags/polling" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>polling</span></a> <a href="https://mastodonapp.uk/tags/Labour" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>Labour</span></a> <a href="https://mastodonapp.uk/tags/Conservatives" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>Conservatives</span></a> <a href="https://mastodonapp.uk/tags/LibDems" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>LibDems</span></a> <a href="https://mastodonapp.uk/tags/GreenParty" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>GreenParty</span></a> <a href="https://mastodonapp.uk/tags/SNP" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>SNP</span></a> <a href="https://mastodonapp.uk/tags/ReformUK" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>ReformUK</span></a> <a href="https://mastodonapp.uk/tags/PlaidCymru" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>PlaidCymru</span></a> <a href="https://mastodonapp.uk/tags/MRP" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>MRP</span></a> <a href="https://mastodonapp.uk/tags/GE2024" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>GE2024</span></a></p>
UK Election Results<p>GB OPINION POLL</p><p>Headline Westminster voting intention by <a href="https://mastodonapp.uk/tags/FocalData" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>FocalData</span></a>:</p><p>🔴 Labour: 43% (+1)<br>🔵 Conservatives: 21% (-3)<br>⚪ Reform UK: 16% (+1)<br>🟠 Liberal Democrats: 10% (+1)<br>🟢 Green Party: 5% (=)<br>🟡 SNP: 2% (-1)</p><p>Labour lead of 22 points.</p><p>Conducted 14-17 June 2024. Changes with 7-11 June 2024.</p><p><a href="https://mastodonapp.uk/tags/ukpolitics" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>ukpolitics</span></a> <a href="https://mastodonapp.uk/tags/ukpol" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>ukpol</span></a> <a href="https://mastodonapp.uk/tags/polling" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>polling</span></a> <a href="https://mastodonapp.uk/tags/Labour" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>Labour</span></a> <a href="https://mastodonapp.uk/tags/Conservatives" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>Conservatives</span></a> <a href="https://mastodonapp.uk/tags/LibDems" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>LibDems</span></a> <a href="https://mastodonapp.uk/tags/GreenParty" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>GreenParty</span></a> <a href="https://mastodonapp.uk/tags/ReformUK" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>ReformUK</span></a> <a href="https://mastodonapp.uk/tags/SNP" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>SNP</span></a> <a href="https://mastodonapp.uk/tags/GE2024" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>GE2024</span></a></p>
UK Election Results<p>Headline Westminster voting intention by <a href="https://mastodonapp.uk/tags/FocalData" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>FocalData</span></a>:</p><p>🔴 Labour: 42% (-2)<br>🔵 Conservatives: 24% (-1)<br>⚪ Reform UK: 15% (+1)<br>🟠 Liberal Democrats: 9% (=)<br>🟢 Green Party: 5% (=)<br>🟡 SNP: 3% (+1)</p><p>Labour lead of 18 points.</p><p>Conducted 7-11 June 2024. Changes with 3-6 June 2024.</p><p><a href="https://mastodonapp.uk/tags/ukpolitics" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>ukpolitics</span></a> <a href="https://mastodonapp.uk/tags/ukpol" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>ukpol</span></a> <a href="https://mastodonapp.uk/tags/polling" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>polling</span></a> <a href="https://mastodonapp.uk/tags/Labour" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>Labour</span></a> <a href="https://mastodonapp.uk/tags/Conservatives" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>Conservatives</span></a> <a href="https://mastodonapp.uk/tags/LibDems" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>LibDems</span></a> <a href="https://mastodonapp.uk/tags/GreenParty" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>GreenParty</span></a> <a href="https://mastodonapp.uk/tags/ReformUK" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>ReformUK</span></a> <a href="https://mastodonapp.uk/tags/SNP" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>SNP</span></a> <a href="https://mastodonapp.uk/tags/GE2024" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>GE2024</span></a></p>
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