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#laɓour

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There has been the first principled resignation from the current #uk #Laɓour government. All three previous departures have been related to perceived improprieties. The resignation of #anneliesedodds as minister for international development is in quite a different category - and may be much more ominous and significant - recalling resignations in 2003 over #iraq and 1950.over the funding of #rearmament .

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@ChrisMayLA6

The bipartisan mantra arose from the Faustian bargain made by an ambitious #Laɓour politician who was shadow #homesecretary at the time of the #bulgercase in 1993 . This broke the previous consensus in favour of rehabilitation which dated back to the time in the 1900s when #winstonchurchill was #homesecretary ! That bargain propelled #tonyblair to the leadership of the #Laɓour party and to #downingstreet . Another aspect of his legacy that haunts us in the #uk !

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@ChrisMayLA6
I agree. The poll cited is by #focaldata - who have an excellent record due not least to #jameskanagasooriam (whose work in #scotland rescued #theresamay in #ukgeneralelection2017 ). #electoralcalculus has produced very similar results to it. Using their open access model suggests that a return of just 3% of voters back to #labour from #reformUK would give #Laɓour a substantial majority. The 3% group is not anti-immigration but expects actual delivery from the #labour government.

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@ChrisMayLA6

By comparison #hammersmithandfulham can be regarded as something of a 'success story' for #Laɓour in #london and a serious cause of annoyance to the #conservatives . One consequence of this annoyance may well have been the conspicuous failure of #BorisJohnson when #mayoroflondon to provide funds to repair #hammersmithbridge preferring instead to waste public money on vanity projects further down the #thames - at least one of which #sadiqkhan had to cancel.

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@ChrisMayLA6

The #londonborough of #hammersmithandfulham is quite interesting politically. Under #conservative rule it was part of the ill fated #triborough experiment - along with #westminster and #kensingtonandchelsea . #hammersmithandfulham left the #triborough after #Laɓour won control of the council in 2014 - also the year when it introduced free home care. The #labour administration there thus predates the national leadership of both #jeremycorbyn and #keirstarmer .

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@ChrisMayLA6

This is because too many people in the #Laɓour leadership appear - at least - to remain fixated on owner occupation without grasping that the economic and social conditions for its expansion - or even maintaining its share of housing tenure - no longer exist in the #uk . Recreating them is not impossible but will take quite a long time - and is likely to involve improvement in the security of employment among other things.

#ukelections2025 - A lean year ?

It looks as if there may be many less elections than usual in the #uk this year because many local elections may be postponed by a year as a result of the proposed reorganisation of local government. This would mean that there would be less of a check than usual on the reliability of #opinionpolls . This could fuel highly questionable claims as to actual voting intentions. A problem for established political parties - among them #Laɓour ?