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#EuropeanPolitics

3 posts2 participants0 posts today
Continued thread

Thirdly - completing the cliché with the ugly (mixed). 🇵🇱

Imv the most important one. Poland's important & their presidency is about as powerful as you get in parliamentary systems.

So - polls were mostly right, a moderate won round 1 (idk about PO being liberal but whatever):

bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cgegn1

But barely. 2nd-4th all far right.

In round 2 polling a PO win is favoured (good) but it's not a given and this is alarmingly close.

Warsaw Mayor Rafal Trzaskowski, the presidential candidate of the Civic Coalition reacts to the exit poll for the first round of Poland's presidential election, in Sandomierz, Poland, May 18, 2025.
BBC NewsPoland election: Rafal Trzaskowski, Warsaw's liberal mayor,, narrowly wins Polish presidential voteRafal Trzaskowski is set to face conservative historian Karol Nawrocki in a second round run-off.
Continued thread

Secondly - the bad. 🇵🇹

For a long time Portugal was treated as though it was immune to the rise of the far right across the West.

2022 put paid to that and the far right sadly did even better this time, coming joint second, and largely at the expense of the left.

Not good.

ft.com/content/3d02e995-1346-4

(Sorry for FT link, it had the best analysis but the same story will be around elsewhere).

Financial Times · Far right surges in Portugal as moderate conservatives win electionBy Sérgio Aníbal

Lots of elections across Europe yesterday!

Firstly - the good. 🇷🇴

bbc.co.uk/news/articles/crk2xx

The far right looked poised to win the presidency - in the end ... no. Not even close.

An alarming proportion of the population still voted for a fascist, so unless this is the high water mark bad times could be ahead, but a clear victory for now.

Romania has a relatively strong presidency (for a parliamentary system) so not just symbolic too.

A smiling man in a suit stands with supporters in front of a Romanian flag and a lectern that says Nicusor president
BBC NewsRomanian liberal mayor Nicusor Dan wins tense race for presidencyNicusor Dan fights off a strong challenge from a right-wing nationalist after months of political turbulence.

After being cancelled in Nov 2024 over fraud and foreign interference, Romania’s presidential vote is back on: May 4 & 18. Join us live with journalists Anita Bernacchia & Claudiu Pop

We’ll explore:
– What’s really at stake in this election
– The media’s role in shaping political narratives
– Romania’s position between EU integration and nationalist backlash

Register now: us06web.zoom.us/meeting/regist

"Today, confronted with an aggressive tyranny and faced with an , the nation states of , with , are attempting to uphold the moral and recasting of the world that took place after 1945.

Europe doesn’t need to form a – and one is already taking shape | Martin Kettle | The Guardian
theguardian.com/commentisfree/




The Guardian · Europe doesn’t need Trump to form a western alliance – and one is already taking shapeBy Martin Kettle